6 football teams each of different level
of play compete in a knockout fashion: the 1st pair chosen at random and in the following rounds the winner is facing another randomly chosen team.
Given that a certain team won three games so-far what is
the probability of winning the 4th game?
(In reply to
an ambiguity? by Steven Lord)
Initially I had the same worry about the ambiguity. I wrote my solution on the assumption that the player's first game was indeed the first game of the whole tournament.
My second thought was Does it matter? Just ignore the first game. But then he'd be playing against a proven winner, of at least one game. That would need to be taken into consideration.
The remaining paragraph was removed, as it was completely wrong.
Edited on March 17, 2023, 10:41 am
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Posted by Charlie
on 2023-03-17 10:30:06 |
re: an ambiguity?
