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Guess Again (Posted on 2007-01-15) Difficulty: 3 of 5
I generate a random number from 1 to 1000 and ask a student to make a guess of a number. After this guess I tell the student whether they are right or if the correct number is higher or lower. They will get a total of 10 guesses.

I tell my students that if they choose their guess correctly they can always win, which is true. In practice they do not always win because they must guess rather quickly and do any computations in their heads.

If I give you only 9 guesses, what is the probability you will guess the number with optimal guessing?

If I pick a random number from 1 to n with equal probability, tell you the upper limit, and give you x guesses, what is the probability you will win with optimal guessing?

  Submitted by Jer    
Rating: 3.3333 (3 votes)
Solution: (Hide)
If 2x-1 > n you can always win.

Otherwise the probability of winning is (2x-1)/n

For 9 guesses and 100 numbers this works out to 511/1000 = .511

Comments: ( You must be logged in to post comments.)
  Subject Author Date
Some ThoughtsPuzzle ThoughtsK Sengupta2023-03-15 05:16:52
answer using a programalex2007-04-10 13:40:05
solutionArt M2007-01-19 23:18:11
re: solutionCharles Archibals2007-01-16 22:11:28
SolutionsolutionCharlie2007-01-15 12:31:23
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