Two gamblers, A and B, divided into a few bundles the money they've recently won and agreed to toss a coin for each bundle.
A 3rd gambler, nicknamed Mathwiz remarked: "It is an even money that A will win at least five of the tosses".
How many bundles of money were there?
Assuming that:
1. even money means that probability of winning at least five of the tosses is 1/2;
2. probability of tails and heads in each toss is the same, i.e. 1/2
then
the probability of A winning at least 5 of the tosses is the same as A losing all of them plus winning 1plus winning 2 plus winning 3 plus winning 4;
then , we have:
(1/2)**n)*[1+n+(n*(n1)/2)+(n*(n1)*(n2)/6)+(n*(n1)*(n2)*(n3)/24) = 1/2
The value of n that satisfies the above equation is n=9.
There were 9 bundles of money.

Posted by zoccer
on 20111231 09:08:24 