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 One 1 to Six 6's (Posted on 2015-07-01)
A standard six-sided die is to be rolled repeatedly until a side appears a number of times equal to its number. In other words until the n-th n appears.

Let P(n)=the probability the game terminates with the n-th n.

Find the distribution of n.

Feel free to generalize for m sides.

Warning: I have not managed this past m=4.

 No Solution Yet Submitted by Jer No Rating

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 re(2): more results (11 and 12) | Comment 12 of 14 |
(In reply to re: more results (11 and 12) by Daniel)

12-sided die:
Probabilities:
{0.687834,0.212301,0.0684188,0.0218152,0.00677342,0.00203701,0.0005926,0.000166855,0.0000455305,0.0000120604,3.10643*10^-6,7.79319*10^-7}
Ratios:
{3.2399,3.10296,3.13629,3.22071,3.32517,3.43741,3.55158,3.66469,3.7752,3.88241,3.98608}

I didn't really expect those ratios to be quite √10, but I did expect them to have a more regular behavior.  That down and up is a bit of a shock.

 Posted by Jer on 2015-07-05 16:07:34

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