Note: Read this problem carefully, because it's completely different from the original.

As before, 100 prisoners are put into solitary cells, and there's a room with a light bulb. (No prisoner can see the light bulb from his or her own cell.) Every night, the warden picks a prisoner at random, and that prisoner goes to the living room. While there, the prisoner can toggle the bulb if he or she wishes. but this time, the prisoner needs to assert that he knows, which prisoner was in the living room before him. If the assertion is false, all 100 prisoners will be shot. However, if it is indeed true, all prisoners are set free. Thus, the assertion should only be made if the prisoner is 100% certain of its validity.

The prisoners are allowed to get together one night, to discuss a plan.

But, the prisoners know that after that night, when they will go back to their solitary cells. the warden will choose one prisoner secretly (and this time, not randomly) and will kill him.

What plan should they agree on, so that eventually, someone will make a correct assertion?

(In reply to How about by Delete Me)

The given solution is the best method to both guarantee 100% accuracy, and be 100% probable in the shortest interval of time. 

In your solution, the warden could simply never choose either of your two prisoners...an unlikely event, but still within the realm of possibility in your solution.

Posted by Roberto Gonzalez on 2007-03-23 15:16:23