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Unlikely event (Posted on 2019-02-21) Difficulty: 2 of 5
Once I read a magazine article about probability where the author stated there was an unlikely event. The probability was given as

(1 - 10-21)1025

This probability is pretty small but hard to get a handle on. It is, however, quite close to 10-n, where n is an integer.

Find this integer.

No Solution Yet Submitted by Danish Ahmed Khan    
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Calculator solution | Comment 2 of 3 |
(1-1/x)^x tends to 1/e as x increases so (1-10^-21)^(10^21) is very very close to e.

Rewrite the expression as (1/e)^(10^4) = e^-10000

Need to use a base-10 logarithm to manage this.

log(e^-10000)=-10000log(e)=-4342.9448

So the expression is quite close to 10^-4343

n=4343

  Posted by Jer on 2019-02-21 14:38:02
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