The most common current definition of a
blue moon is the second full moon of a calendar month.
Given that the full moon occurs every 29.5 days what is the long term probability that when a blue moon occurs it is in a specific month? Use the regular (every 4th year) leap year formula for February.
Consider a world/calendar with a lunar cycle of exactly 29 days and whose months are randomly assigned 30 or 31 days (with equal probability and no yearly repetition.) What is the long term probability that a blue moon falls on a 30 day month?
Part:1
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January 3/25
February 0
March 3/25
April 1/25
May 3/25
June 1/25
July 3/25
August 3/25
September 1/25
October 3/25
November 1/25
December 3/25
Part:2
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given blue moon would have a probability of finding itself in a 30-day month= 1/3 not saying which one, and the probability of finding itself in a 31-day month=2/3
Edited on August 5, 2023, 3:58 am