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Accuracy Ascertainment (Posted on 2023-09-11) Difficulty: 2 of 5
Each of Abner, Berenice, Calvin and Dolores is either a knight who always tells the truth, or a liar who always speaks falsely, or a knave who alternates between lying and telling the truth in any order.
They say:
  • Abner: Berenice is a liar.
  • Berenice: I am a knight.
  • Calvin: If asked, Berenice would say that she is a knight.
  • Dolores: I am a knight.
Given that each of the four individuals being any of the 3 types is equally likely, and all the four statements are simultaneous and independent, determine the probability that:
  • Abner is a knight, Berenice is a liar and each of Calvin and Dolores is a knight.
*** For an extra challenge, solve this puzzle without taking resort to a computer program/excel solver aided methodology.

See The Solution Submitted by K Sengupta    
Rating: 4.5000 (2 votes)

Comments: ( Back to comment list | You must be logged in to post comments.)
re: Extra Challenge Accepted (spoiler) | Comment 3 of 6 |
(In reply to Extra Challenge Accepted (spoiler) by Steve Herman)

(1/2)*(2/3)*(2/3)*(2/5)=8/90=4/45=0.0888888888...



  Posted by Math Man on 2023-09-12 17:51:06
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