A standard deck of 52 cards contains, inter alia, four Queens.
After a perfect shuffle, one turns cards from the top one after another, until the first Queen appears.
Please provide your justified estimate at what step will the 1st Queen appear.
Before I run the numbers, let me just guess. I guess that it is expected to be in the middle of the 1st quarter of the deck. So I would expect it to show up at step 7.