A basketball player who shoots 80% from the free-throw line goes to the charity stripe with just 1.7 seconds remaining in a basketball game.
He has two shots, and his team is trailing by two points.

What is the probability that he will make only one of the two, and why?

(Assume that he is trying, of course, for his team to win the game.)

Not being a basketball player myself, I'd go with 32% (2*0.8*0.2) but that's just because I don't know the rebound rules!

Posted by Dave Cheetham on 2003-08-17 12:23:40