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Unbiased and Biased Choice (Posted on 2016-09-19) Difficulty: 3 of 5
Consider identical looking four coins labeled as C1, C2, C3 and C4.

C1 is unbiased and, the probability of getting heads in a toss is 1/2.
C2 is biased and, the probability of getting heads in a toss is 3/4.
C3 is biased and, the probability of getting heads in a toss is 5/6.
C4 is biased and, the probability of getting heads in a toss is 7/8.

Exactly one of the coins is chosen at random with equal probability. The chosen coin is tossed nine times and the outcome is: HHHHHTTTT.

Determine the probability that the chosen coin is C1. What is the probability that the chosen coin is C4?

  Submitted by K Sengupta    
Rating: 5.0000 (1 votes)
Solution: (Hide)
The probability that the chosen coin is C1 is approximately 0.79094.
The probability that the chosen coin is C4 is approximately 0.0297253133521847855. For an explanation, refer to the solution submitted by Charlie in this location.

Comments: ( You must be logged in to post comments.)
  Subject Author Date
SolutionsolutionCharlie2016-09-19 10:56:17
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