6 football teams each of different level
of play compete in a knockout fashion: the 1st pair chosen at random and in the following rounds the winner is facing another randomly chosen team.
Given that a certain team won three games so-far what is
the probability of winning the 4th game?
(In reply to
re: Puzzle answer by hoodat)
You must assume that a better team always win.
Then there is no ambiguity.