You are shown three boxes, and told that one of them contains a prize. You are then asked to pick one box, and if that box is the one with the prize, you will win it. After picking a box, you are shown that one of the other two boxes is empty, and offered a chance to change your selection.

Should you do this? Would changing your choice to the other remaining box affect your odds of winning? Why or why not?

(In reply to by Cory Taylor)

Since this popped up under Bonus, I'll chime in. And though the "Let's Make a Deal/Savant" problem has been batted around for a while, it is still a nice problem to to get the conditional juices flowing. So here goes my answer:

Just kidding; I can't state a summary better than Cory's :-)

Posted by owl on 2004-12-11 05:46:49